Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, 2017-09-23
http://www.hzg.de/030629/index_0030629.html.en

Establishing climate information for non-European regions

The objectives of this work packages are:

The main objective of this work package is to provide climate scenarios for Europe and West Africa (Niger Basin), East Africa (Nile Basin), Bangladesh and Maldives at the time when the global mean temperature is simulated to be 2ºC (1.5ºC) above its preindustrial level. These scenarios will serve as input for the impact studies. This objective is broken down into the following four specific objectives:

Analysis of robust regional climate change patterns at the time when the global temperature exceeds the preindustrial level by 2°C (1.5°C) in a wide range of different scenarios.
Provision of new CORDEX-type regional ~10km resolution climate scenarios by downscaling Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations under the ENSEMBLES-E1 stabilization scenario and/or under the new RCP-scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways).
Provision of new high-resolution (~30km) Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) transient 30-year time slice scenarios centred on  the time when the global temperature exceeds the preindustrial level by 2°C (1.5°C).
Analysis of sea level rise from CMIP5 results with a focus on the above 4 vulnerable regions.

Participants

MeteoF (lead)
HZG, PIK, UniRes, MET.NO, SMHI, ENEA, DMI, Met Office

Deliverables